As an investor, keeping on top of the global markets is integral to long-term success. However, this isn’t always a goal that’s so easy to achieve. Indeed, markets for both stocks and bonds can change drastically overnight, with news flow running 24×7, making it understandable that many people miss out on the most significant movements overall.
Fortunately, Nadine Terman and Solstein Capital state that there are ways to stay up to speed in order to optimize investment processes.
The Latest Market News to Keep in Mind
While luck certainly can be helpful for investment success, having an investment process along with educated knowledge of the current markets are more important for long-term investment success rates.
Nadine Terman of Solstein Capital says that investors can sign up for a free digest of key investment content through Longbow Trade Signals’ Arrows: https://mylongbow.com/longbow-arrows/ She tries to make investment news enjoyable to read for a wide variety of investors each morning when the markets are open. She shares a few examples of recent news here.
Lithium Prices Fall
The price of lithium, a key component in electric vehicle batteries, has been declining after a period of significant strength. Given a decline in EV sales in China, alongside the Lunar New Year holiday, investors have become concerned about not only the commodity’s price but also the commodity producers. As such investors are closely watching lithium mining stocks, including Albemarle, SQM and Livent.
Stock Market Crash
A considerable worry for many investors is the risk of an upcoming stock market collapse. Experts from several large financial institutions are recommending caution to investors after the rebound in risk assets in January. Part of the concern is that both equities and bonds have been declining together in February. Historically, when equities declined, bonds would increase in value and provide a risk management buffer for portfolios. In periods of higher inflation volatility, though, investors have experienced both equities and bonds declining in value, which negatively affects portfolio returns and removes a key risk management level for many portfolio managers. With hotter than expected inflation readings in the past few weeks, investors have become more concerned, and inflation volatility has remained at higher levels.
Bond Yields Rising
As investors consider alternatives to the global equity markets, increasingly they are becoming more interested in fixed income markets.
Bond yields have been rising as of late, largely thanks to the increasing strength of labor, a solid economy, and higher inflation readings. The PCE price index rose 0.6% month over month in its most recent reading, the most since June 2022. Personal spending was up 1.1%, adjusted for prices. Thus, the inflation softness reported at the end of the fourth quarter of 2022 seems to be more of a head-fake right now. Investors expect the Federal Reserve to continue to raise rates, which are enabling bond yields to rise further.
China’s Red Lines
There are increasing geopolitical tensions between the US and China. The US has warned China about providing ammunition or other military assistance to Russia and is considering additional restrictions on technology transfer and usage. These warnings come on the heels of the Chinese balloon in US airspace just a few weeks ago. In response, China warned the US’ top diplomat in Hong Kong not to cross “three red lines”, namely threatening China’s national security, infiltrating politics in Hong Kong, and slandering or damaging Hong Kong’s development prospects. Investors should continue to monitor these and prospective geopolitical tensions between the two countries, as they often negatively impact risk asset prices.
Global markets can move meaningfully throughout the year, so keeping a watchful eye on the latest global market news is vital. With market volatility rising over the past several weeks, it is natural for investors to consider risk management of positions and overall exposures in the context of their risk and return profiles.